Monday, November 2 | Read online Risk-on: 71% of the watchlist green · VIX 18.97 · VIX term in contango — calm, premium-selling tape.This week: Jobs Fri, 63 watchlist earnings, S&P 3.0% off its high. S&P 500 7,613 +0.44%, 3.0% below its high. VIX 19.0 in contango: normal, both sides open. 71% of the 142-name watchlist is green at the open (101 up, 41 down). Read ten minutes after the open. The name of the week AAPL reports Monday after close: the market is braced for a 1.4% day By HM5 Trainer AAPL is expected to earn $1.98 a share against $1.85 a year ago. Its own volatility says a typical day is about ±1.4%; a report can be two of those. The desk has no read on it until the stack lines up. The crowd is on it too: 55 mentions in the last day, up 8 places. The desk's rule for a report is the same every time: no new option position across it, shares only with a stop sized for the move, and the honest trade is often to watch the reaction and take the second move, not the first. The board at the open
Binary events this week Monday · Nov 2 Earnings · AAPL after close ±1.4% · CIFR before the open · GRAB after the close · ON after close ±4.6% · PLTR after close ±4.8% · ROKU after close ±1.3% Tuesday · Nov 3 Earnings · AMD after close ±6.5% · BEAM Tue, Nov 3 · DOCN before the open · DUOL after the close · MARA Tue, Nov 3 ±6.1% · PFE before open ±1.9% · SHOP before open ±4.1% · SMCI after close ±7.2% · TOST after the close · UPST before the open Wednesday · Nov 4 Earnings · APP after the close · ARM after close ±6.6% · DASH after close ±4.4% · DAVE after the close · DDOG before open ±7.2% · ELF after the close · FSLY after the close · HUT before the open · IONS Wed, Nov 4 · JOBY after the close · LEU after the close · MCD before open ±1.8% · QCOM after close ±4.9% · RDW after the close and 8 more Thursday · Nov 5 Earnings · ABNB after close ±2.5% · AFRM after close ±5.4% · ARRY after the close · BILL after the close · CELH before the open · COP before open ±2.5% · DKNG after close ±3.5% · DNN Thu, Nov 5 · FOUR before the open · IONQ after the close · IREN after the close · LMND before the open · LYFT after close ±3.2% · NET after close ±6.2% and 9 more Friday · Nov 6 Jobs · 8:30 AM ET Earnings · OKLO before the open · WULF before the open The ± beside an earnings name is the size of a typical day for it, from its own volatility. The desk’s rule: no new option position across a report; shares only with a stop, sized for a move that big. The briefing Leading: Cons. Disc. +1.42%, Industrials +1.15%, Materials +1.06%. Lagging: Energy -1.44%, Utilities -0.21%, Real Estate -0.05%. First five minutes, up: RIVN +5.02% · BABA +4.36% · PDD +3.04% · SLV +2.88% · GE +2.48% Down: USO -5.56% · ORCL -3.90% · OKTA -2.52% · MRVL -2.52% · C -2.48% The last prints
Crypto: BTC 77,708 -0.34% · ETH 2,285 +0.79% · SOL 93.82 -1.25% Rates and the Fed, this week Wall Street Week Ahead: Keep Your Head Down — The AI Trade Faces Its Hardest Week · Investing.com Canada Rates need to be higher, 3 Fed members say. The question is how much. · Yahoo Finance Fed officials are already saying they’ll need to get back to hiking rates · CNBC Where the desk leans DE LONG on Share SetupsA+ · passes 5 of 6 gate checks Best on each board WMT LONG · Vertical SpreadsA+ · passes 4 of 6 · Bull Call Spread
WMT LONG · Vertical Spreads · 2026-10-30 INTC SHORT · Vertical Spreads · 2026-10-30 JNJ LONG · Vertical Spreads · 2026-10-28 A+ setups on the scans Weekly: SLB ▲ · TGT ▲ · SBUX ▲ · XLF ▲ · AFRM ▲ · COIN ▼ Options flow Calls: MU $11.3M · LLY $10.2M · AMD $8.7M · HOOD $6.0M A pick is the closest name to the six-check gate on its board; a Top Banana passed every check with a Trigger arrow firing. Both are paper trades on the desk, never advice. Hot stocks: what the crowd is on
Mentions across the trading crowd in the last 24 hours. Crowded is not the same as right; the desk’s read is beside the names it has one for. Mergers and corporate actions ENS EnerSys · 8-K filed 2026-10-27 ADT ADT · 8-K filed 2026-10-29 CART Maplebear · 8-K filed 2026-10-29 SGRY Surgery Partners · 8-K filed 2026-10-26 ULBI ULTRALIFE · 8-K filed 2026-10-28 LITE Lumentum Holdings · 8-K filed 2026-11-02 EQT EQT · 8-K filed 2026-10-26 SEC filings (8-K) that mention a merger, acquisition or agreement, newest first. A filing is a fact; what it means for the price is the week’s question. The world Why Is Costco (COST) Facing Class Action Lawsuits Over Tariff Refunds? · Yahoo Finance Warmer weather and tariffs put pressure on Peruvian asparagus supplies · FreshPlaza OPEC+ Quota Reset Could Cap 2027 Oil Supply & Reprice Non-OPEC Producers · Crux Investor US Treasury yields mixed ahead of midterm elections, jobs data and major corporate earnings | Hindustan Times · Hindustan Times U.S. Treasury, European Bond Yields Fall as Oil Prices Drop · WSJ Housing Week Ahead: Monthly Trends Data, Mortgage Rates, and Jobs Report · Realtor.com Treasury yields mixed as oil prices tumble ahead of the midterms · CNBC Tariffs, trade talks, oil, the Middle East, Russia and Ukraine, and the bond market: the things that move the whole tape at once, from the wires. Headlines only, no view. From the News Tape Marvell to buy Lumentum in all-stock deal, a massive bet on AI connectivity · Nov 2, 9:23 AM ET The Midterms Are Tomorrow. Here's What History Says Defense Stocks Do in the 6 Months After a Midterm -- and the 2 I'd Buy First · Nov 2, 9:18 AM ET What Mattered Most In Robinhood's Latest Quarter? · Nov 2, 9:16 AM ET Crude oil dives to session low on Iran peace talk hopes ahead of midterms · Nov 2, 9:15 AM ET ‘She’s a Type A personality’: My stepmother wants me to repay my late father’s $40,000 wedding gift. Should I oblige? · Nov 2, 9:15 AM ET Connecticut Sen. Chris Murphy hospitalized after stroke, office says · Nov 2, 9:14 AM ET Oracle files to sell $20 billion in new stock, bonds to finance AI buildout · Nov 2, 9:03 AM ET Oracle’s stock falls as the company details plan to raise $20 billion · Nov 2, 9:03 AM ET Everything above is what the Tape shows at 9:40 ET, in plain English. Paper trading and education only: nothing here is financial advice, a recommendation, an instruction to follow, or a promise of income. Do your own homework before every trade. Trading carries a substantial risk of loss. Headlines belong to their publishers. Hou5eMoney · support@hou5emoney.com · Unsubscribe · Past issues |
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