Monday, October 12 | Read online Mixed: 53% of the watchlist green · VIX 15.42 · VIX term in contango — calm, premium-selling tape.This week: CPI Tue, PPI Wed, OPEX Fri, 12 watchlist earnings, S&P 0.4% off its high. S&P 500 7,816 +0.05%, 0.4% below its high. VIX 15.4 in contango: normal, both sides open. 53% of the 142-name watchlist is green at the open (75 up, 67 down). Read ten minutes after the open. The name of the week SCHW reports Thursday before open: the market is braced for a 2.6% day By HM5 Trainer SCHW is expected to earn $1.67 a share against $1.31 a year ago. Its own volatility says a typical day is about ±2.6%; a report can be two of those. The desk has no read on it until the stack lines up. The desk's rule for a report is the same every time: no new option position across it, shares only with a stop sized for the move, and the honest trade is often to watch the reaction and take the second move, not the first. The board at the open
Binary events this week Tuesday · Oct 13 CPI · 8:30 AM ET Earnings · C before open ±1.9% · GS before open ±2.2% · JNJ before open ±1.5% · JPM before open ±1.6% · UNH before open ±1.8% · WFC before open ±2.4% Wednesday · Oct 14 PPI · 8:30 AM ET Earnings · ASML before open ±2.5% · BAC before open ±1.8% · BLK before open ±1.9% · MS before open ±1.8% MU Ex-dividend $0.15. Goes ex-dividend 2026-10-14 ($0.15 a share). Thursday · Oct 15 Earnings · SCHW before open ±2.6% · TSM before open ±2.5% Friday · Oct 16 OPEX · all day The ± beside an earnings name is the size of a typical day for it, from its own volatility. The desk’s rule: no new option position across a report; shares only with a stop, sized for a move that big. The briefing Leading: Energy +1.32%, Communication +0.79%, Financials +0.45%. Lagging: Technology -0.53%, Materials -0.36%, Industrials -0.16%. First five minutes, up: SOXS +5.61% · NET +5.57% · NOW +3.24% · CRM +3.11% · SNAP +2.49% Down: SOXL -5.55% · NIO -3.76% · ADBE -3.18% · MU -2.80% · LCID -2.11% The last prints
Crypto: BTC 82,494 -0.63% · ETH 2,526 +0.94% · SOL 110.13 +0.66% Rates and the Fed, this week Fed Interest Rate Predictions for the Next 5 Years: 2026–2031 · Norada Real Estate Investments After a Record-Setting Week, Wall Street Turns to Inflation Data and the First Big Earnings Reports · Yahoo! Finance Canada Fed officials want to hold off a rate hike this month. Will this week’s inflation data let them? · MarketWatch Asian markets mixed following Wall Street gains; heavy earnings week ahead · Seeking Alpha Where the desk leans Nothing is close to the gate at the open. That is a read too: the desk waits.
AFRM LONG · Vertical Spreads · 2026-10-09 V LONG · Vertical Spreads · 2026-10-08 RIOT SHORT · Vertical Spreads · 2026-10-08 A+ setups on the scans Weekly: MA ▲ Options flow Calls: PLTR $18.7M · MSTR $10.6M · HOOD $6.4M · ASML $5.8M A pick is the closest name to the six-check gate on its board; a Top Banana passed every check with a Trigger arrow firing. Both are paper trades on the desk, never advice. Hot stocks: what the crowd is on
Mentions across the trading crowd in the last 24 hours. Crowded is not the same as right; the desk’s read is beside the names it has one for. Mergers and corporate actions OPCH Option Care Health · 8-K filed 2026-10-06 VEEE Twin Vee PowerCats · 8-K filed 2026-10-08 PTC PTC · 8-K filed 2026-10-05 RXO RXO · 8-K filed 2026-10-05 CHRW C. H. ROBINSON WORLDWIDE · 8-K filed 2026-10-05 Digital Asset Acquisition · 8-K filed 2026-10-08 QuasarEdge Acquisition · 8-K filed 2026-10-06 SEC filings (8-K) that mention a merger, acquisition or agreement, newest first. A filing is a fact; what it means for the price is the week’s question. The world OPEC cuts oil demand forecast sharply as supply risks keep prices elevated · investingLive OPEC’s 400,000-Barrel Demand Growth Forecast Puts Oil-Dependent Economies on Alert · https://www.nigeriahousingmarket.com/ Oil prices rise as Middle East risks offset diesel supply · grafa.com U.S. Futures Mixed, Oil Rises After Russia Hits Ukraine Energy Sites · WSJ China's carmakers rely on overseas markets as monthly domestic sales decline continues - ABC News · Breaking News, Latest News and Videos Why Trump’s Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire may offer oil markets little relief · The National Commodities: Oil Lower Despite Middle East Escalation · Seeking Alpha Tariffs, trade talks, oil, the Middle East, Russia and Ukraine, and the bond market: the things that move the whole tape at once, from the wires. Headlines only, no view. From the News Tape FAA warns U.S. airlines of safety risks over Saudi Arabia after attacks · Oct 12, 9:29 AM ET Starbucks says it is not buying Chipotle after takeover speculation · Oct 12, 9:23 AM ET Stock futures are little changed to start the week: Live updates · Oct 12, 9:21 AM ET ‘The prospectus looks impressive’: My financial adviser wants me to invest $350,000 in a UAE data center. Is this risky? · Oct 12, 9:16 AM ET ‘I have no children’: My aunt gave me $50,000 for a down payment. Now she wants me to leave my home to her two children. · Oct 12, 9:15 AM ET This five-star money manager shares three stock picks, including one betting on dying American malls · Oct 12, 9:12 AM ET Rep. Ilhan Omar's home raided by DHS in fraud probe of immigration paperwork: Report · Oct 12, 9:06 AM ET S&P 500 Just Hit Record High in October. History Stands Ready to Repeat Itself. · Oct 12, 9:05 AM ET Everything above is what the Tape shows at 9:40 ET, in plain English. Paper trading and education only: nothing here is financial advice, a recommendation, an instruction to follow, or a promise of income. Do your own homework before every trade. Trading carries a substantial risk of loss. Headlines belong to their publishers. Hou5eMoney · support@hou5emoney.com · Unsubscribe · Past issues |
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